Hardship Update: Interim Scores Released for Israel and Iran

AIRINC has published an interim Hardship update to reflect the sharp rise in danger across Israel and Iran following the outbreak of hostilities on June 13, 2025. This decision aligns with our established practice of staying attuned to sudden changes in location conditions and responding promptly with data-driven adjustments.

AIRINC Hardship Updates

At AIRINC, hardship assessments reflect a structured, transparent process evaluating a location against multiple criteria including violence and conflict, environmental risk, health system stress, legal and social conditions, and more, using on a 0 to 100 scale. These scores translate into a recommended percentage allowance (typically of 0–30%) to support assignees appropriate to each program’s objectives . We continuously track a broad range of indicators using local on-the-ground research and interviews plus trusted external sources such as government advisories, NGOs, and media outlets.

When significant events such as sudden violence, natural disasters, or political unrest impacts a region, we respond with interim score updates. These typically precede our regular quarterly or biannual releases, ensuring organizations can act swiftly to protect and support their people.

June 2025 Interim Updates for Israel & Iran

Following escalation:

• Iran: Major cities including Tehran, Mashhad, Shiraz, Isfahan, Tabriz, and Rasht have been heavily impacted by Israeli airstrikes, resulting in substantial civilian casualties. Tehran, with its population of 10 million, has seen significant displacement and damage. We have applied a +2 points increase to the violence score across most cities, with Tehran receiving a +3 points. Danger Pay is now set at the maximum score of 25 across Iran.
• Israel: Cities including Tel Aviv, Haifa, Beersheba, and sites in the West Bank have experienced Iranian bombardments. Despite defensive measures like Iron Dome, there has been infrastructure damage and civilian harm. We’ve raised the violence score by +2 points to reach the maximum for all locations in Israel. Danger Pay is likewise set at the maximum score of 25.

These interim updates, effective June 2025, capture the immediate increase in risk. They are designed not only to reflect current conditions, but also to preserve flexibility: our comprehensive August release will revisit hardship in full, leveraging the same robust methodology while factoring in evolving trends and context. 

At AIRINC, we monitor changes in location conditions to support data-driven hardship evaluations. These updates help ensure that organizations are accurately accounting for the realities employees may face abroad. 

Next Steps

We encourage clients to integrate this interim update into their mobility planning immediately. As always, our team is available to clarify the methodology, explain the drivers of change, and support communications with stakeholders.

Following the recent U.S. bombings, we are continuing to monitor events.

For more on how AIRINC defines, monitors, and updates hardship data, see our Hardship allowances overview and “What’s driving hardship data updates?” blog.

For questions, please reach out to your AIRINC contact.