Economic Instability in Lebanon

    Oct 16, 2020 @ 12:38 PM / by Morgan Grenier

    Lebanon

    A catastrophic explosion on top of an already struggling economy

    Lebanon’s economy was struggling before the catastrophic explosion on August 4. Severe cash shortages, a widening gap between official and parallel market exchange rates, increasing poverty rates, high unemployment, and periods of high protest activity have impacted Lebanon over the past year. Inflation is high and many assignees have to use unfavorable rates when purchasing at least a portion of their goods.

    AIRINC research found that many retailers were quoting prices in a combination of both USD and LBP, and some only in USD. Retailers are eager to accept physical US dollars if they can get them, and inflation of the local currency means prices in local currency need to be adjusted frequently.

    The official exchange rate is 1505 LBP to 1 USD while banks and money changers can exchange at a specialty rate of 3,900 LBP/USD (if they have access to the funds to do the exchange) and the rate on the parallel market has climbed to 8,000 LBP/USD. With physical currency in short supply, many assignees need to rely on card transactions—many of which must use the outdated and overvalued rate of 1505 LBP/USD.

    With the resignation of Prime Minister Hassan Diab shortly after the port explosion and the resignation of the temporary PM Mustapha Adlib in late September, the economy will continue to be complicated by high inflation and multiple exchange rates.

    This post is taken from AIRINC's quarterly Data Points publication.

     

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    Topics: Expatriate Housing, Goods & Services, Data Points, Data and Infographics, Global Mobility News, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Lebanon

    Morgan Grenier

    Written by Morgan Grenier

    Morgan graduated with a BA in Communications and Journalism from Simmons College, where she received a Gold Medal from the Columbia Scholastic Press Association. She joined AIRINC in 2016 as a Goods and Services Analyst. In this role, she aids in the quarterly analysis of survey data and evaluates hardship for AIRINC’s Hardship Database.